Adventures of a multidimensional freak

This is Juan Julián Merelo Guervós English-language blog. He teaches computer science at the University of Granada, in southern Spain. Come back here to read about politics, technology, with a new twist

Latest comments

  • seomaster en Spanish blogosphere in Wired
  • ali en In Trondheim for CEC 09
  • sdsd en Losing my religion (the subject of religion in Spanish schools)
  • Eugene Williamson en Stand on Zanzibar
  • Abhishek Dey Roy en Kohonants in action
  • Abhishek Dey Roy en So you still want a summer internship somewhere, right?
  • Abhishek Dey Roy en So you still want a summer internship somewhere, right?
  • Abhishek Dey Roy en So you still want a summer internship somewhere, right?
  • Abhishek Dey Roy en So you still want a summer internship somewhere, right?
  • Abhishek Dey Roy en So you still want a summer internship somewhere, right?
  • Blogs Out There

    Nelson Minar's Blog
    Jeremy Zawodny's Blog
    Complexes, Carlos Gershenson's blog
    IlliGAL, Genetic Algorithms blog

    Atalaya, my Spanish language blog
    Geneura@Wordpress, our research group's blog.
    My home page

    Old stories

    Creative Commons License
    This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

    Inicio > Historias > The future of A-listers, power laws, the universe, and everything

    The future of A-listers, power laws, the universe, and everything

    Reading this entry in Joho's blog, where he speculates about the future of blogging, and says:

    8. The distinction between the big, high-traffic blogs and the rest of the world of blogging will be increasingly sharply etched. The "tail" will gain more and more value as the number of high-traffic blogs necessarily grows much more slowly

    I sit down to think a bit about the future of blog incoming hyperlinks power laws (as shown by Kottke and Kevin Mark). We have all heard about this, often in the same phrase as "rich get richer", and stuff like that, implying that, in the future, A-list blogs will get even more incoming links at the expense of the tail, those at the far left of the graph. This is probably also Dave Weinberger point in that phrase, although it's not too clear, since the second phrase seems to contradict the first one.
    different powerlaw scenarios
    This is what I try to sketch in this plot: different scenarios of evolution of the power law (which is a log-log plot of different axb functions, x being the blog rank, and the dependent variable the number of incoming links, changing a and b). The first phrase ("... increasingly sharply etched") might look like exp=2.5, with the rich effectively getting richer. The second, more like exp=1.9, with the tail gaining more value, little by little, and.
    What is the most like scenario? My hunch is that it might look more like exp=2.2, that is, the exponent of the power law will change ever so slightly, maybe 0,1 up or down. The explanation is that link decay only happens in the long run, so links are always added, they never decrease; with an ever-increasing number of incoming links, that's how things will look like.
    But that's only part of the picture. My opinion is that it's an error to plot incoming links for all eternity; time frames should be taken into account. The web is never a static thing, and those popular now might not be so in the future. If we consider a 1-year moving window, and take into account only links created during that period, what will happen?
    It's anybody's guess. Mine is that the situation will not be too different: the independent term will increase while the number of blogs continues to grow, while the exponent will not change much.

    2003-10-25 03:46 | 5 Comment(s) | Filed in

    Referencias (TrackBacks)

    URL de trackback de esta historia


    De: Ashwin kumar Fecha: 2019-08-12 14:00

    I used to get my Microsoft edge web browser related solution from here and inviting others to join and see important messages where are saved passwords in microsoft edge this homepage sharing knowledge for free and online. Get advantages and keep secure passwords.

    De: find more info Fecha: 2019-08-21 12:06

    I favored to send you this truly little statement to aid problems many thanks over again over the pleasing strategies you have had a look at on this net internet site. This remains to be to remain to be as a matter of fact extremely type of you to make totally particularly what an alternative people can have created you back an electronic magazine in making some bucks for their authentic exceptionally own end, specifically thinking about the truth that you can have done it if you in the past pointer of demand.

    De: Tamilrockers Fecha: 2019-09-26 14:10

    HDhub4u - Download All movies And Tv Shows
    TamilRockers New Link
    TamilRockers - Tamil, Telugu, Hindi Dubbed, Movie Download
    Mp4moviez Download 2019 Latest Hindi Dubbed HD Movies
    DvdVilla Download Latest Bollywood & Hollywood Hindi Dubbed Movies
    Bhojpuri Film
    Movierulz 2019 – Download watch latest Bollywood, Telugu, Hollywood Movies
    Gujarat Ration Card
    PMSBY Full Form
    UP Ration Card Download
    Goa Ration Card List
    Ration Card Assam
    Ration Card
    Punjab Ration Card List
    cg Ration Card List
    Digital Ration Card
    UP Ration Card List

    De: Anónimo Fecha: 2019-10-29 20:44

    russian girls in dubai
    russian girls in pakistan
    russian girls in dubai
    russian girls in pakistan

    De: Fecha: 2019-11-15 12:21

    best web hosting
    garmin updates
    Dell printer customer service
    yahoo customer service

    © 2002 - 2008 jmerelo
    Powered by Blogalia